Siracusa vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
18.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 2
VNZ
65%
18%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
USC
0 - 1
SIR
51%
23%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
BAR
1 - 1
SIR
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
SIR
4 - 0
MOD
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 2
SAL
62%
19%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
SPE
0 - 3
VIC
70%
17%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
SPE
3 - 0
TRE
63%
18%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
ANC
1 - 2
SPE
55%
22%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
VER
1 - 0
SPE
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
SPE
2 - 0
EMP
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |