Siracusa vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
SAL
4 - 1
SIR
72%
16%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
VER
3 - 0
SIR
76%
14%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SIR
0 - 0
NAP
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
SIR
5 - 0
USA
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 2
PIS
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
REG
2 - 1
PIS
77%
14%
10%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
REG
0 - 2
LIV
64%
17%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
BRE
6 - 1
REG
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
REG
4 - 0
PRO
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
REG
2 - 2
NAP
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |