Siracusa vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 0
FAN
71%
15%
14%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
TAR
3 - 0
SIR
63%
19%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
CAT
0 - 2
SIR
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
SIR
0 - 2
DOM
86%
9%
5%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
ACP
1 - 3
TAR
60%
19%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ACP
0 - 4
REG
31%
22%
47%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
VIC
1 - 2
ACP
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ACP
0 - 1
AMB
89%
8%
4%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ACP
5 - 2
EMP
35%
23%
43%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +3 |