Europa League 1/32
Global 3-5
Sion vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
YOB
2 - 1
SIO
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
GCZ
1 - 0
SIO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
SIO
4 - 1
BEL
77%
15%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
VEL
5 - 0
SIO
39%
22%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 0
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
VEL
5 - 0
SIO
39%
22%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
VEL
4 - 3
LSO
42%
24%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
LSO
2 - 0
VEL
84%
10%
7%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
VEL
3 - 2
VAS
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
VAS
2 - 2
VEL
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |