Sion vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
BEL
2 - 0
SIO
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
SIO
1 - 3
STG
41%
24%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SIO
1 - 0
BEL
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
WIN
1 - 2
SIO
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAD
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
FCA
0 - 0
ZUR
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCA
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |