Sintrense vs União da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
10º
7º
27
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 80% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sintrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
SIN
35%
29%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIN
4 - 1
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 1
SIN
20%
27%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 1
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
SIN
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
União da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 2
USA
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
4 - 3
UDA
53%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDA
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 2
1DE
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 3
UDA
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |