Sintrense vs Arronches e Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
10º
7º
16
11º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sintrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
SIN
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SIN
2 - 3
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SIN
0 - 0
BEN
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UDR
2 - 2
SIN
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SIN
1 - 0
FAZ
77%
15%
9%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Arronches e Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 1
UDA
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 2
VIA
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
SAB
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 3
SER
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAB
2 - 0
MOS
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |