Sintrense vs Alcains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
10º
7º
11
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sintrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 1
SIN
20%
27%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 1
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
SIN
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 1
SIN
18%
25%
57%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 0
USA
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 2
USA
11%
20%
69%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALC
79%
14%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALC
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 2
1DE
11%
19%
70%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 4
ALC
76%
16%
8%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +2 |