Sint-Truidense VV vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
16º
14º
27
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 40 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 37 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 33 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
32% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
68% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint-Truidense VV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SDL
2 - 1
STR
34%
26%
41%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
KSK
0 - 2
STR
23%
22%
55%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
KVC
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GNK
3 - 2
STR
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
GEN
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KVM
1 - 1
UNI
45%
24%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 1
LOU
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 5
KVM
26%
25%
50%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 0
KVK
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KVM
5 - 0
LEU
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |