Sint-Truidense VV vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint-Truidense VV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIS
1 - 0
STR
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LOM
1 - 0
STR
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
STR
3 - 2
TUB
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
EUP
1 - 2
STR
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
STR
2 - 1
MOU
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
HOO
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIS
0 - 4
EXC
37%
25%
37%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
LOM
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TUB
1 - 0
EXC
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
EUP
20%
26%
54%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |