Sint-Truidense VV vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
13º
16º
13º
11
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 57 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 52 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 51 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 51 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 48 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 45 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 43 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 42 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 39 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 36 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 32 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
40.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
8.5% | 2.5% |
|
Next round
|
53% | 35% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
38.5% | 62.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint-Truidense VV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
6 - 1
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STR
1 - 4
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AND
1 - 0
STR
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
3 - 0
STR
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
4 - 0
STR
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 1
KVK
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 2
DEN
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 0
UNI
19%
22%
59%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 3
LOU
52%
23%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
DEN
72%
17%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |