UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 5-1
Sint-Truidense VV vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint-Truidense VV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
ARA
0 - 2
STR
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
STR
6 - 0
SVA
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
SVA
1 - 2
STR
31%
26%
44%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
STR
1 - 1
KSK
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 1
STR
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
ARA
0 - 2
STR
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
ARA
1 - 0
FCM
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
FCM
0 - 1
ARA
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ARA
2 - 1
KIL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1999 |
ARA
4 - 0
LER
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |