Sint Maarten vs Guadeloupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
78%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3008%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint Maarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
KNA
0 - 1
SXM
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SXM
2 - 3
KNA
8%
13%
79%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GLP
4 - 0
SXM
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SXM
1 - 5
LCA
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GUF
4 - 1
SXM
88%
10%
2%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 0
LCA
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LCA
2 - 1
GLP
20%
22%
58%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GLP
4 - 0
SXM
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 17 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KNA
1 - 2
GLP
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 3
GTM
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |