Sint Maarten vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
70.8%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4151%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint Maarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GUF
4 - 1
SXM
88%
10%
2%
|
19 | 60 | 41 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
SXM
9%
13%
78%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SXM
6 - 1
BES
10%
14%
76%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +7 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
TCA
2 - 0
SXM
77%
14%
10%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SXM
8 - 2
TCA
5%
9%
85%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | +5 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MTQ
3 - 1
LCA
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LCA
3 - 1
DMA
56%
22%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AIA
1 - 2
LCA
10%
15%
76%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LCA
1 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
LCA
1 - 1
SMR
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |