Simurq vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
QAR
1 - 0
SIM
49%
27%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SIM
1 - 2
FKQ
36%
30%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FKN
2 - 1
SIM
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SIM
2 - 0
KHA
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SIM
2 - 0
AZA
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SUM
0 - 1
AZA
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FKB
1 - 2
SUM
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SHA
5 - 1
SUM
59%
23%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
KHA
0 - 1
SUM
60%
22%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SUM
3 - 0
QAR
23%
28%
49%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +2 |