Simurq vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
REV
1 - 1
SIM
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FKQ
0 - 2
SIM
67%
22%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
SIM
0 - 1
QAR
24%
28%
49%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
KHA
1 - 0
SIM
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
SIM
1 - 2
FKN
26%
29%
45%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
QAR
1 - 2
SUM
71%
20%
10%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SUM
2 - 1
AZA
19%
29%
52%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 0
SUM
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SUM
0 - 1
FKB
19%
28%
53%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 1
SUM
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |