Simurq vs FK Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
44.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
SIM
0 - 1
FKQ
28%
30%
42%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
SIM
0 - 2
SHA
27%
29%
44%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
AZA
5 - 1
SIM
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SIM
2 - 1
TUR
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FKN
4 - 2
SIM
67%
22%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
FKB
0 - 3
QAR
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
KHA
3 - 0
FKB
46%
29%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
FKB
1 - 0
SUM
70%
19%
10%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
REV
0 - 0
FKB
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 0
FKB
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |