Simba SC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
JKT
1 - 3
SIM
19%
28%
53%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SIM
4 - 2
AZA
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SIM
1 - 1
BUM
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
SIM
4 - 5
SEV
16%
21%
63%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SIM
2 - 0
NDA
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
LFC
3 - 1
MTI
44%
30%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
SIM
3 - 0
MTI
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
MTI
1 - 0
YOU
27%
29%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MTI
2 - 0
SUN
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MTI
2 - 0
MBA
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |