Simat vs Orba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
SIM
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SIM
3 - 1
GOR
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 1
LLX
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PED
1 - 3
SIM
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 3
SIM
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Orba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ORB
2 - 0
TMO
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ORB
1 - 1
POR
50%
23%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ORB
3 - 0
OLI
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ORB
1 - 2
LLX
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ORB
3 - 1
PED
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |