Q. Europa League Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 4-4
Sillamäe Kalev vs FC Honka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
SIK
0 - 2
LEV
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
TIN
3 - 3
SIK
25%
24%
52%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 3
SIK
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 4
SIK
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SIK
6 - 1
JOH
81%
14%
6%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
HON
2 - 1
INT
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
SEI
2 - 1
HON
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
HON
1 - 1
HJK
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
KUO
2 - 0
HON
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
HON
1 - 1
FCL
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |