Sillamäe Kalev II vs Ararat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
NOM
5 - 1
SKA
54%
21%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
EMM
1 - 2
SKA
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
SKA
4 - 0
JKJ
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
JKJ
2 - 3
SKA
16%
20%
63%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SKA
1 - 3
EMM
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
FCA
0 - 1
NOM
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 3
FCA
21%
23%
57%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FCA
5 - 0
TJK
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
FCE
1 - 3
FCA
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCE
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |