Sileks vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
4º
4º
37
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
SIL
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 1
AKP
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SIL
3 - 1
FKS
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
SIL
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SIL
2 - 0
RAB
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 3
SHK
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RAB
2 - 0
TIK
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 1
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
POB
0 - 1
TIK
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 0
RAB
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |