Sileks vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
40%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
9º
4º
5
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 42 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 34 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 21 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5% | 11% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
24% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 0
SIL
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
4 - 0
AKP
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 0
SIL
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
5 - 0
FKB
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 0
DUB
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
SHK
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 3
VOK
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
4 - 1
FKS
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 0
IGD
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |