Sileks vs Makedonija GP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
4º
4º
39
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
0 - 0
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
SIL
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
SIL
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 5
SIL
16%
26%
58%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
3 - 1
FKS
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 0
AKP
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
MAK
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 2
MAK
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 1
RAB
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 0
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |