Sileks vs Gostivar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
9º
4º
9
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 42 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 34 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 21 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
24% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 4
SIL
10%
16%
75%
|
58 | 8 | 50 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 3
SIL
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 2
SIL
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 1
SHK
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 0
SIL
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 0
GOS
47%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 2
GOS
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
SHK
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
GOS
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |