Sileks vs Bregalnica Štip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
4º
4º
38
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
SIL
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
SIL
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 5
SIL
16%
26%
58%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
3 - 1
FKS
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 2
BRE
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
MAK
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
TIK
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
BRE
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 0
POB
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 2
BRE
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |