Sileks vs Bregalnica Štip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
4º
4º
38
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
SIL
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
SIL
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 5
SIL
16%
26%
58%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
3 - 1
FKS
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 2
BRE
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
MAK
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
TIK
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
BRE
13%
20%
67%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 0
POB
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 2
BRE
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |