Sileks vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
9º
4º
6
2º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 42 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 34 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 21 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
24% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 19.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 0
SIL
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
5 - 0
FKB
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 0
DUB
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 0
TKS
31%
25%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
PEL
2 - 2
SIL
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 1
VAR
54%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KGE
1 - 1
AKP
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AKP
1 - 1
MAK
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 1
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 4
BEI
11%
18%
71%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |