Siezenheim vs Thalgau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
12º
10º
34
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siezenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 0
SIE
60%
20%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 2
UNI
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ANI
1 - 1
SIE
65%
17%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SIE
4 - 0
STR
56%
20%
23%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
SIE
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UFV
3 - 2
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
3 - 2
UFV
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UFV
1 - 2
PUC
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
5 - 0
UFV
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UFV
2 - 2
USC
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |