Siete Villas vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siete Villas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 0
SIE
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 5
RAC
25%
25%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
SIE
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 2
TRO
24%
25%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
SIE
34%
24%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAR
22%
25%
53%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TEX
3 - 0
CAS
78%
15%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
ALB
34%
27%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 5
RAY
30%
26%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
4 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |