Siete Villas vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siete Villas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SIE
4 - 0
ESC
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BEZ
1 - 1
SIE
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
SIE
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TEX
3 - 1
SIE
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SIE
3 - 4
SEL
65%
21%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
SEL
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
RAC
23%
26%
51%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAS
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
RAY
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |