Sierre vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
STA
2 - 1
SIE
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 2
USC
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SBC
2 - 0
SIE
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SIE
6 - 1
CSC
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SIE
5 - 1
CHI
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCR
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
FCL
24%
23%
54%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 0
PER
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
FCL
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 1
VER
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -2 |