Sierra Leone vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
55.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
2 - 1
SLE
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TUN
0 - 0
SLE
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SLE
2 - 2
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
SLE
4 - 2
STP
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 2
SLE
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
2 - 1
SLE
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
TOG
1 - 1
TUN
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 0
TUN
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
TUN
1 - 0
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GHA
4 - 2
TUN
43%
27%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |