Sierra Leone vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
MTN
2 - 1
SLE
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SDN
1 - 0
SLE
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
COD
3 - 1
SLE
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
SLE
1 - 5
CIV
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CMR
2 - 0
SLE
71%
20%
10%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
MTN
2 - 1
SLE
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
CMR
1 - 0
MTN
81%
15%
4%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
MTN
2 - 0
NIG
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
MTN
73%
17%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MTN
0 - 1
UGA
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |