Sierra Leone vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
LBR
1 - 0
SLE
20%
22%
58%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
SLE
80%
15%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SLE
1 - 0
SDN
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SLE
1 - 0
GAB
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
GAB
2 - 1
SLE
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
KEN
0 - 0
MWI
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
KEN
2 - 2
COD
15%
22%
64%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 0
LBR
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 0
MOZ
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |