WC Qual. Africa Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-0
Sierra Leone vs Guinea-Bisáu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
SLE
0 - 2
BEN
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MLI
6 - 0
SLE
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SLE
0 - 1
TOG
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
TOG
3 - 1
SLE
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
BEN
2 - 0
SLE
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
MLI
2 - 0
GNB
78%
16%
7%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GNB
1 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1988 |
GNB
3 - 1
GAM
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +8 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
GNB
1 - 1
SEN
20%
27%
53%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1988 |
GNB
0 - 0
SLE
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |