Sierning vs Freistadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
EFE
1 - 1
SIE
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 2
NEU
25%
25%
50%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 2
SIE
66%
19%
14%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 4
USD
64%
20%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BAD
2 - 1
SIE
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Freistadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
SVF
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
SVF
1 - 1
EFE
53%
22%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 0
SVF
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SVF
3 - 0
BAD
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
USD
0 - 3
SVF
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |