Sierning vs Marchtrenk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NEU
1 - 2
SIE
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 2
BAD
40%
25%
35%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SSM
4 - 2
SIE
61%
20%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 3
MAR
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 2
UNI
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Marchtrenk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
GMU
53%
22%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 3
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 4
GRU
28%
22%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
DON
4 - 2
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -2 |