Sierning vs TSV Hartberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
NEU
2 - 1
SIE
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 0
DON
60%
22%
18%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
GRU
2 - 1
SIE
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
SIE
4 - 0
SVT
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
GMU
1 - 2
SIE
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Hartberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
SCA
1 - 0
HAR
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 2
GKN
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 2
LUS
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
AWM
5 - 1
HAR
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 2
SKN
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |