Sierning vs Gurten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 1
NEU
33%
26%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 1
SIE
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 2
BAD
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
EFE
2 - 1
SIE
55%
23%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SIE
5 - 1
GMU
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUR
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
GUR
3 - 0
DON
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GUR
0 - 0
WEL
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 1
GUR
24%
22%
53%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GUR
3 - 2
MAR
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |