Sierning vs Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
2 - 2
SIE
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GMU
3 - 0
SIE
35%
25%
41%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SIE
3 - 0
SVT
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 1
SIE
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SIE
3 - 3
VOR
11%
20%
69%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 2
SVT
41%
24%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BAD
5 - 0
BAD
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 1
VOR
11%
19%
70%
|
8 | 52 | 44 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
EFE
2 - 1
BAD
70%
18%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 3
GRU
19%
21%
59%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |