Siena vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 0
RSO
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 0
ARI
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
LAZ
0 - 1
SIE
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 1
SIE
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SIE
0 - 2
PAR
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 2
VIC
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
6 - 0
ASA
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 1
VIC
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
EMP
3 - 2
VIC
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 0
EMP
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |