Siena vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 0
SIE
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SIE
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CTT
0 - 0
SIE
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
SIE
1 - 1
MON
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 0
SIE
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
USC
2 - 1
REG
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
USC
1 - 2
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 1
USC
55%
26%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
USC
0 - 1
ABN
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
USC
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |