Siena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CAT
1 - 1
SIE
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SIE
2 - 0
NAP
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SIE
1 - 0
COS
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 0
SIE
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2003 |
SIE
0 - 0
ANC
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2003 |
TER
0 - 0
LEC
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
COS
0 - 3
TER
34%
27%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
TER
2 - 1
ASC
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VNZ
0 - 0
TER
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
TER
1 - 1
LIV
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |