Siena vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 0
SIE
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
SIE
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
SIE
2 - 1
USC
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 0
SIE
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SIE
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
VAR
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPA
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
3 - 1
ABN
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MON
1 - 0
SPA
31%
27%
41%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SPA
0 - 0
MOD
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |