Siena vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 0
SIE
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PAL
2 - 3
SIE
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
SIE
2 - 3
INT
12%
22%
65%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 0
SIE
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SIE
1 - 1
NAP
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 0
PAL
76%
16%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 1
ROM
24%
26%
50%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 0
CAT
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
ROM
4 - 0
TOR
83%
13%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |