Siena vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
TUT
1 - 1
SIE
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 2
USC
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
SIE
22%
23%
56%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SIE
2 - 0
USA
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PIA
3 - 0
SIE
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
LRO
0 - 0
REN
35%
27%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REN
0 - 0
ASL
37%
28%
36%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
GER
3 - 1
REN
58%
25%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
ARZ
26%
29%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PON
1 - 1
REN
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |