Siena vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
12.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
SIE
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CTT
0 - 0
SIE
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SIE
4 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
REG
0 - 0
SIE
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 1
PES
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PIA
4 - 0
GRO
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ASC
3 - 1
PIA
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 2
REG
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FRO
1 - 1
PIA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 2
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |