Siena vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
JUV
4 - 2
SIE
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SIE
4 - 0
MOD
43%
29%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
BRE
4 - 2
SIE
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SIE
0 - 0
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 1
SIE
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
PRG
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ANC
0 - 0
PRG
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2004 |
PRG
1 - 2
JUV
28%
27%
46%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PRG
0 - 1
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
PRG
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |