Siena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
SIE
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 1
FIO
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CAT
3 - 0
SIE
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ROM
4 - 0
SIE
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ACM
0 - 0
ROM
57%
22%
21%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
PES
0 - 4
ACM
12%
22%
66%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ACM
4 - 2
CAT
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |