Siena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
60%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ROM
3 - 0
SIE
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
CAG
2 - 1
SIE
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SIE
1 - 2
SAM
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SIE
2 - 1
LAZ
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 1
SIE
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
ACM
1 - 1
FIO
68%
20%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
ACM
3 - 1
SEV
41%
25%
34%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 3
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
REG
2 - 0
ACM
18%
25%
58%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
ACM
2 - 1
LIV
51%
24%
26%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |